2019-03-19 23:35:08
Rationale:
-IVR steadily increased from 3/12-3/18; no clear news or earnings to justify the increase in volatility (earnings on 5/2)
-added this name to watchlist yesterday but didn't enter strangle since volatility was still on the rise; today the volatility has come off a little and we may continue to contract
-entered into Apr expiry as that is where all the liquidity is; only 31 DTE so may have to take profits quickly
IVR=74%
IV/HV=
Reasons for entry:
-high IVR
-portfolio needed short delta, which this non-directional trade offers
Trade Planning
-structure: strangle
-major support: $50
-major resistance: $60
-add point: NA
-stop loss: 150-300 (scale out of 1 lot when it reaches .5x loss on credit received; can hold remainder for 1.5-2x credit)
-take profit price / risk-reduction plan: scale out at 30% and 50% premium capture
2019-03-22 16:10:21
-exited remainder of the position today: first scale out was 34% of max profit and second scale out was for 53% of max profit
-vol crushed very quickly - think this is the shortest period i've held any strangle
Execution detail:
Date/time | Symbol | Side | Price | Position |
---|---|---|---|---|
2019-03-19 10:19:35 | APR18 19 60 CALL | sell | $0.7200 | short |
2019-03-19 10:19:35 | APR18 19 45 PUT | sell | $0.7800 | short |
2019-03-21 09:48:14 | APR18 19 60 CALL | buy | $0.8500 | short |
2019-03-21 09:48:14 | APR18 19 45 PUT | buy | $0.1500 | short |
2019-03-22 15:52:33 | APR18 19 60 CALL | buy | $0.4500 | 0 |
2019-03-22 15:52:33 | APR18 19 45 PUT | buy | $0.2500 | 0 |
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