Double Bottom Pullback
JE
ROKU
June 11, 2019
Big Picture
Overall Market was Bullish
Sector was Bullish to Neutral
Corresponding stocks also Bullish
Intraday Fundamentals
No News Catalyst
ATR: 4.70
RVOL: .75
Price Range: 100-104
Short Float: 10.49%
Avg. Volume: 13.56M
Institutional Own: 71.40%
Technical Analysis – Long Term
Daily chart showed an inside bar after the breakout to an all-time high, then there was a breakout of the inside bar, however, it did not have an follow through yesterday, which is a sign of weakness and increases the probability of a test of the bottom of the spike.
Technical Analysis – Midterm
The 15 minute chart yesterday put in lower highs and higher lows and came to an apex by the end of the session, increasing the probabilities of a breakout (up/down) that would test the trend extreme
Technical Analysis – Short Term
The session open with a breakout of the triangle to the down that exceeded the extreme of the pattern, once the target was hit, the market generally reverses, possibly putting in a low of day.
Reading the Tape
Watched the level 2 for order sizes
Trade Management
ROKU put in a double bottom at 9:55 and 10:15, and then pulled back, and a double bottom pullback is a tradeable pattern, and very similar to yesterday’s price action around this same time. I went long one tick above the 10:30 bar and the measured move for the double bottom pullback was 100.5. I added Tier 2 above the high of the next bull bar and added Tier 3 above the high of the next bull bar to bring my position to full size, as the trade kept moving in my favor. I booked one tier at the first resistance (the high of the 2nd, 3rd & 4th bar). Got stopped out of the rest of my position at breakeven on my avg price, (I pretty much talked through my other trades in discord ha)
Trade Review
I did a better job of flipping and the market flipped and then getting back long when prices began to climb, however, I could have gotten long above the 12:15 bar as it was a good place to get long after a sell climax, however, I did use that leg up as a way to measure the move of the next leg after seeing the sideway actions, versus a down move to correct that parabolic bull leg.
Trade Idea
ROKU ended with a bull flag; will long the open above the closing bear channel.
Execution detail:
Date/time | Symbol | Side | Price | Position |
---|---|---|---|---|
2019-06-11 10:34:20 | ROKU | buy | $98.740 | long |
2019-06-11 10:40:02 | ROKU | buy | $98.860 | long |
2019-06-11 10:46:14 | ROKU | buy | $99.240 | long |
2019-06-11 10:49:07 | ROKU | sell | $99.500 | long |
2019-06-11 10:54:34 | ROKU | buy | $99.640 | long |
2019-06-11 10:54:34 | ROKU | buy | $99.590 | long |
2019-06-11 11:36:51 | ROKU | buy | $99.520 | long |
2019-06-11 11:39:39 | ROKU | sell | $99.020 | long |
2019-06-11 11:41:38 | ROKU | sell | $98.910 | 0 |
2019-06-11 11:50:39 | ROKU | buy | $99.219 | long |
2019-06-11 11:55:23 | ROKU | buy | $99.270 | long |
2019-06-11 12:03:43 | ROKU | sell | $98.810 | long |
2019-06-11 12:06:54 | ROKU | sell | $98.690 | 0 |
2019-06-11 13:03:37 | ROKU | buy | $99.350 | long |
2019-06-11 13:06:07 | ROKU | buy | $99.420 | long |
2019-06-11 13:13:06 | ROKU | buy | $99.450 | long |
2019-06-11 13:16:34 | ROKU | sell | $99.700 | long |
2019-06-11 13:32:57 | ROKU | buy | $99.560 | long |
2019-06-11 13:36:42 | ROKU | sell | $99.700 | long |
2019-06-11 13:49:39 | ROKU | sell | $99.900 | 0 |
2019-06-11 13:50:24 | ROKU | buy | $99.950 | long |
2019-06-11 13:56:20 | ROKU | buy | $100.420 | long |
2019-06-11 14:01:54 | ROKU | sell | $100.450 | 0 |
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