Big Picture
- SPY back in August 282-294
- China in US this week to discuss trade deal
- Fed easing and possibly continuing with new QE program (called Open market operations)
- Formal inquiry launched for Trump impeachment (Cover-up, secret server, abuse of power)
- US released tentative plan to limit investment in China (most likely for more sway in trade talks)
- Fed announced further expansion of balance sheet “soon” in an October 8th meeting
Markets Intraday
- PM: SPY consolidation in 291
- Morning: SPY in downtrend with support at 289 and bounced
- Afternoon: SPY continued uptrend from 290 to 291.70
- End of Day: Sellers stepped in pushing SPY to a new low of day of 288.60
Technical Analysis – Long Term
- Downtrend since $23.50 high in 2018
- Last weekly swing respected 200-day SMA, trading below it
Technical Analysis – Intraday
- Gapped up on catalyst news
- Day1: traded and held higher all day
- Day2: gapped up another 20 cents and was bought all day
- Today: Gapped down 40 cents, held up all morning but sold hard all afternoon back below $13
Catalysts / News
- Large contract with RNG
- Buying back 45% of its shares!
- Partnering with Microsoft to launch their CCaaS IX-CC platform in Azure Cloud
Original Plan
Watch more attentively when uptrend resumes, long on a pullback, preferably from a technical zone.
Execution Notes
I was watching AVYA more attentively after it broke above its morning high. I got long on a pullback to the 13.80 where is consolidated 5 minutes prior, got filled at 13.83 for 2 lots. I sold 1 lot on some strength at 13.95. I re-added another lot at 13.80 when the stock was trading near the low of its range. Price broke down and I got stopped at 13.73.
Review
Positives: I was actively participating at technical levels from yesterday and I had the conviction to add another lot while keeping my risk at 1R.
Negatives: A good opportunity was missed when price hit the 12.70 resistance zone after AVYA broke down in the afternoon. I was watching video while this happened and hence missed the opportunity to jump back in.
Giving myself a B as I missed an opportunity to participate due to being distracted.
Grade Questions
Did I follow my plan? (yes/no/with mods): yes
Which modifications?:
What justified the modifications?:
Did you hold a core position until you noticed a reason to sell?: yes
Were your executions goods? yes
Grade: B
(1=D, 2=C, 3=B, 4=A)
Execution detail:
Date/time | Symbol | Side | Price | Position |
---|---|---|---|---|
2019-10-08 10:33:59 | AVYA | buy | $13.830 | long |
2019-10-08 10:52:30 | AVYA | sell | $13.950 | long |
2019-10-08 11:55:31 | AVYA | buy | $13.800 | long |
2019-10-08 12:08:43 | AVYA | sell | $13.730 | 0 |
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