LEN Trade on Jan 8, 2020 09:34 from Cklamb: Tradervue User Stock Trades.

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LEN
Intraday Fundamentals
• Lennar Corp. (LEN), the Miami homebuilder, said fourth quarter ending Nov. 30 fell to $674.3 million , or $2.13 a share, from $796.1 million , or $2.42 a share, with revenue rose to $6.97 billion from $6.46 billion . The year-earlier quarter included a 58 cents a share gain on the sale of an investment and asset management platform. Analysts polled by FactSet expected earnings of $1.90 a share on revenue of $6.51 billion . Lennar reported a 16% increase in the number of home deliveries but a 7% decrease in the average sales price of homes. Its backlog of 15,577 homes had a dollar value of $6.3 billion , down 4%. Lennar expects fiscal 2020 deliveries to be in the range of 54,000 to 55,000 homes, homebuilding gross margin percentage to be in the range of 20.5% to 21.0% and cash flows to continue to accelerate, and it says it will "opportunistically deploy excess cash flow" to repurchase additional debt and return capital to shareholders.
Technicals
ADV 3.09 M RVOL 1.64 ATR 1.16 BETA 1.04 Short 4.65% Inst Own
Daily
Hourly

Intraday

Trading Strategy
• Look for a flush into 58.50 for a long
• Look for the long at 59 if it begins to show as support at the open
• Short at 60 if it cannot break
• VWAP and SMA Momentum Plays
Reading the Tape

There was not a lot of tape reading here as this was spready out of the gate for the first hour or so.
Trade Management

Trade Notes
• Scalp long off previous days high, I hesitated on entry but hit VWAP target. I had to leave the screen or i may have tried to chop at this again before get hacked trying to play of 60 for a new HoD.
• I was aggressive on the VWAP bounce play got on a long wick. I did try it again for scratch as it could not hold.
• I just got the opportunity to take one tight as it came into the SMA. I got the partial but a small wine overall
• I tired to catch the next trade a little light on a test of the SMA. I was taking on more risk than usual holding through the test of 59. But, the trade hit target at just a little better than 1 to 1
• I managed to catch this one more time testing VWAP and carried into .84.
• I caught a good short, But, there was no reason to cover this and I needed to be bigger.
• I saw three higher lows on this late in the day. I started to take a tight longs and got tap a couple of times. I finally a runner even all the way back up into the previous days high. The partial on this was a failure and got filled at the entry. I got convinced that this would retake and started hacking it up a bit and moved on before the short become obvious.

image


Execution detail:

Date/time Symbol Side Price Position
2020-01-08 09:34:04 LEN buy $58.810 long
2020-01-08 09:34:25 LEN sell $59.065 0
2020-01-08 09:51:07 LEN buy $59.970 long
2020-01-08 09:51:48 LEN sell $60.047 0
2020-01-08 09:52:46 LEN buy $60.125 long
2020-01-08 09:54:41 LEN sell $59.875 0
2020-01-08 09:55:35 LEN buy $59.925 long
2020-01-08 09:55:52 LEN sell $59.975 0
2020-01-08 09:58:20 LEN buy $60.054 long
2020-01-08 09:58:26 LEN sell $60.069 long
2020-01-08 09:58:55 LEN sell $59.970 0
2020-01-08 10:09:30 LEN buy $59.685 long
2020-01-08 10:09:51 LEN sell $59.646 0
2020-01-08 10:10:49 LEN buy $59.569 long
2020-01-08 10:10:53 LEN sell $59.594 0
2020-01-08 10:18:59 LEN buy $59.665 long
2020-01-08 10:20:01 LEN sell $59.671 0
2020-01-08 10:20:56 LEN buy $59.710 long
2020-01-08 10:21:14 LEN sell $59.783 0
2020-01-08 10:23:54 LEN buy $59.640 long
2020-01-08 10:24:50 LEN sell $59.570 0
2020-01-08 11:01:50 LEN buy $59.245 long
2020-01-08 11:11:50 LEN sell $59.420 0
2020-01-08 11:16:07 LEN buy $59.577 long
2020-01-08 11:16:10 LEN sell $59.593 0
2020-01-08 11:16:36 LEN buy $59.650 long
2020-01-08 11:16:39 LEN sell $59.649 long
2020-01-08 11:17:29 LEN buy $59.570 long
2020-01-08 11:17:50 LEN buy $59.600 long
2020-01-08 11:18:07 LEN sell $59.615 0
2020-01-08 11:24:52 LEN buy $59.595 long
2020-01-08 11:24:59 LEN sell $59.670 long
2020-01-08 11:29:27 LEN sell $59.720 0


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