DAL Trade on Jan 14, 2020 09:31 from Cklamb: Tradervue User Stock Trades.

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Cklamb

 

DAL
Total gain/loss: $28.24 Largest gain: $6.87 (show)

Average daily gain/loss: $28.24 Largest loss: $-1.30 (show)

Average daily volume: 1500 Average per-share gain/loss: $0.04
Average winning trade: $3.82 Average trade gain/loss: $2.82
Average losing trade: $-1.18 Trade P&L standard deviation: $2.81
Total number of trades: 10 Profit factor: 13.02
Number of winning trades: 8 (80.0%) Average hold time (winning trades): 32 minutes
Number of losing trades: 2 (20.0%) Average hold time (losing trades): 4 minutes
Max consecutive wins: 5 (show)
Max consecutive losses: 2 (show)

Average position MFE: $4.30 Average position MAE: $-3.78

Intraday Fundamentals
• Shares of Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) shot up 5.4% toward a 5-month high in premarket trading Tuesday, after the air carrier reported fourth-quarter earnings and revenue that rose above expectations. Net income increased to $1.10 billion , or $1.71 a share, from $1.02 billion , or $1.49 a share, in the year-ago period. Excluding non-recurring items, adjusted earnings per share was $1.70 , above the FactSet consensus of $1.40 . Revenue rose to $11.44 billion from $10.74 billion , above the FactSet consensus of $11.38 billion . Load factor was 85.6%, up from 85.2% and above expectations of 85.1%. Total revenue per available seat mile (TRASM) on an adjusted basis increased 2.4%, “exceeding expectations on strong holiday travel demand,” while non-fuel costs per available seat mile (CASM-Ex) rose 4.4%, in line with guidance of 4% to 5%. For the first quarter, Delta expects revenue growth of 5% to 7%, while the FactSet consensus of $11.08 billion implies 6.3% growth. The stock has rallied 12.3% over the past three months through Monday, while both the Dow Jones Transportation Average and the Dow Jones Industrial Average have gained 7.9%.
Technicals
ADV 5.4m RVOL 1.54 ATR 1.01 ATR 1.10 Short 2.78% Inst Own 90%
Daily

Hourly

Intraday
Trading Strategy
• Fundamental bias is on the long side, pre market seems to be confirming
• If this holds 61.50 in the opening minutes , look for a scalp long to 62.50ish and look for a pullback into test VWAP
• If this gives the quick flush to 60.. scalp long into 60.50, attempt to hold some if I starts to hold 60.50.
• VWAP and Momentum plays
Reading the Tape
There various times where I could see the tape acting different in velocity and size. This was far easier to see in the last 30 minutes and provided for some good late day scalps.
Trade Management

• My long bias on this out of the gate did put me into a situation of adding small lots down into 61. I added responsible and never got to a double down situation which may have added to a bad bail on emotion.
• I was willing to add a little in most set ups today trying to accept the fact that I may not get perfect entries that run on me right away.
• I was patient when I needed to be on this and held for better partials.
• I worked this pretty well at the end of the day using the SMA to work this short, long, short

image


Execution detail:

Date/time Symbol Side Price Position
2020-01-14 09:31:15 DAL buy $61.825 long
2020-01-14 09:31:59 DAL buy $61.455 long
2020-01-14 09:34:04 DAL buy $61.245 long
2020-01-14 09:35:21 DAL buy $61.115 long
2020-01-14 09:37:21 DAL sell $61.290 long
2020-01-14 09:37:55 DAL sell $61.510 long
2020-01-14 09:38:41 DAL sell $61.635 long
2020-01-14 09:41:01 DAL sell $61.805 long
2020-01-14 09:48:32 DAL sell $61.830 0
2020-01-14 09:57:54 DAL buy $62.075 long
2020-01-14 09:58:08 DAL buy $62.018 long
2020-01-14 09:59:25 DAL buy $61.955 long
2020-01-14 10:01:07 DAL sell $62.093 long
2020-01-14 10:02:18 DAL sell $62.148 long
2020-01-14 10:03:38 DAL sell $62.132 long
2020-01-14 10:07:24 DAL buy $62.220 long
2020-01-14 10:10:26 DAL sell $62.121 0
2020-01-14 10:22:45 DAL buy $61.975 long
2020-01-14 10:31:13 DAL buy $61.410 long
2020-01-14 10:33:20 DAL buy $61.336 long
2020-01-14 10:58:36 DAL sell $61.634 0
2020-01-14 11:49:48 DAL buy $61.965 long
2020-01-14 11:52:24 DAL sell $61.986 long
2020-01-14 11:52:57 DAL sell $61.996 long
2020-01-14 12:02:59 DAL buy $61.984 long
2020-01-14 12:03:31 DAL sell $61.930 0
2020-01-14 12:07:58 DAL buy $61.907 long
2020-01-14 12:08:47 DAL buy $61.893 long
2020-01-14 12:11:09 DAL sell $61.910 long
2020-01-14 12:12:25 DAL sell $61.828 0


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