What a great trade. Beautiful!!
Yesterday I was harsh with myself, after leaving $10/share on the table being short SPY , thinking that SPY "cannot go much lower than $308".
Reset/regroup is the name of the game!!
SPY was main focus today. I saw the premarket bounce to $309 as a market gift and a huge opportunity to get short at good prices.
R1=200EMA@60min chart=$309.5
R2=yesterday's pivot=$310.
Plan as follows:
a) BEARISH as long as it trades/holds below R2=$310
b) (P) 2nd Day Play
c) (S) Bearish Bias - Holding Resistance at R1/R2 and DTSB of S3=200SMA@daily=Day I LOD=$300.5
I was expecting a quick pop towards R1/R2, obvious rejection at these levels and a quick/sharp move lower towards S3. Desc. Triangle Support Break of S3 would open the way for lower prices on SPY $294-298.
SPY held the premarket high=$307.5 as support at the open and popped towards R1=$309.5.
However, got stuffed and looked weak on the tape close to $309.
Got short half Tier I, risking above R2=$310, wanting to add more size, through the breakdown of premarket high=$307.5.
SPY rolled over and I covered a little bit in-front of $307.5.
Whan I realized the "Head+Shoulders" pattern forming above $307.5, and weak tape above VWAP,
Hit it hard, entering 1.5-Tiers, risking HOD, expecting the momo flush to S1=$306.
Covered small piece when it sold-off to the premarket asc. trendline.
When I saw that premarket high=$307.5 acted as resistance and it started breaking through the asc. support line,
added another 1.5-Tiers to the short, risking the lower high above VWAP, for the flush to S2.
Covered in-front of S2=$306, then at 20SMA@daily=$305, and then left momo to do its job.
Best cover-all-out- in-front of S3=200SMA@daily=$300.5.
Per the pattern I was playing, I was expecting a hard bounce from S3=$300.5 that could possibly go all the way to opening pring, close to $307.5, before the roll-over.
I have seen that many many times in the past, esp. on SPY.
So, sat tight and watched the bounce higher.
Got short, filler size below VWAP, risking wide stop above $307, to keep it on watch.
Added a bit more at the pop to $306, risking same stop, expecting at least a pullback+consolidation above VWAP before any further move higher.
Finally, added Tier I, bringing stop above S2=$306 when I realized that it had trouble holding and closing above VWAP.
Covered some on the way down to $303-303.5, covered the bulk in-front of LOD=$300.5.
Held a small piece in case of a break lower.
Per the pattern I was playing, I was expecting another bounce from LOD=200SMA=$300.5 back to VWAP, but a lower high than before, roll-over to LOD, flat-line consolidation above LOD and finally, a momo break-down.
However, SPY looked very weak and was unable to bounce from LOD convincingly.
Decided to try a small scalp for the break of LOD and momo sell-off to next support S4=$298.
Got short a bit earlier than the breakdown, risking very tight stop $301.5, added size through the break of LOD=$300.5.
Covered the bulk in-front of $299, had a bid for the rest at $298.21, but price didn't sell-off so low.
Bounced back and I covered the rest at b/e.
(+) Very goog price action-tape-lvl2 reading.
(+) Very good executions, entries + exits.
(+) Realized that it was a A+ setup, I sized properly.
(+) Followed momentum all-along, and I wasn't afraid to chase lower when I realized that there was more downside to the move.
Execution detail:
Date/time | Symbol | Side | Price | Position |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020-06-12 09:46:25 | SPY | sell | $308.520 | short |
2020-06-12 09:46:27 | SPY | sell | $308.470 | short |
2020-06-12 09:46:27 | SPY | sell | $308.520 | short |
2020-06-12 09:47:38 | SPY | sell | $308.253 | short |
2020-06-12 09:47:40 | SPY | sell | $308.220 | short |
2020-06-12 09:49:20 | SPY | buy | $307.850 | short |
2020-06-12 10:05:52 | SPY | sell | $307.890 | short |
2020-06-12 10:06:55 | SPY | sell | $307.715 | short |
2020-06-12 10:12:06 | SPY | sell | $307.550 | short |
2020-06-12 10:13:45 | SPY | buy | $307.127 | short |
2020-06-12 10:20:26 | SPY | buy | $307.070 | short |
2020-06-12 10:20:49 | SPY | buy | $307.177 | short |
2020-06-12 10:26:09 | SPY | sell | $307.110 | short |
2020-06-12 10:26:27 | SPY | sell | $306.940 | short |
2020-06-12 10:29:06 | SPY | buy | $306.210 | short |
2020-06-12 10:37:55 | SPY | buy | $305.210 | short |
2020-06-12 10:51:57 | SPY | buy | $304.380 | short |
2020-06-12 11:02:17 | SPY | buy | $302.250 | short |
2020-06-12 11:24:14 | SPY | buy | $300.730 | 0 |
2020-06-12 11:58:10 | SPY | sell | $304.772 | short |
2020-06-12 12:07:57 | SPY | sell | $305.660 | short |
2020-06-12 12:15:06 | SPY | sell | $304.960 | short |
2020-06-12 12:25:20 | SPY | buy | $304.020 | short |
2020-06-12 12:30:55 | SPY | buy | $303.610 | short |
2020-06-12 13:17:11 | SPY | buy | $302.140 | short |
2020-06-12 13:32:36 | SPY | buy | $301.110 | short |
2020-06-12 13:37:38 | SPY | sell | $300.950 | short |
2020-06-12 13:45:01 | SPY | sell | $300.580 | short |
2020-06-12 13:46:37 | SPY | sell | $300.115 | short |
2020-06-12 13:51:15 | SPY | buy | $299.120 | short |
2020-06-12 14:12:53 | SPY | buy | $300.790 | short |
2020-06-12 14:12:53 | SPY | buy | $300.790 | 0 |
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Wow, great trades. Congrats.