This is what happens when momo is NOT there and instead of follow-thru you get choppy action. I must be careful, consious and not hurt myself on those days.
Trade idea was there. I was watching MSFT yesterday closely, as name was looking weak, flirting with the 20SMA@daily=$204, which was acting as support from March lows. I thought that if MSFT manages to break and hold below the 20SMA, that would be significant for market sentiment, as a LEADER stock breaks serious inflection point.
Opened weak and moved towards the support level.
Got in filler size, risking premarket pivot at $206, just to keep it on close watch, wanting to add serious size below the 20SMA@daily=$204. Target was $202 at a minimum.
Added a bit more when it came close to stop, and as it started respecting VWAP as clear resistance, risking same stop.
MSFT flushed below the support and trade was looking GREAT! I was in from good prices and ready to add more for the momo move lower to $202. Nice consolidation below support with 9EMAs@5/15min chart catching up with price action...
Scaled in to the short, got confident and added more, when 1st algo short-stop run got brutally rejected, and price returned below the support. Stop for the momo adds the top of algo run above $204.
Well, it tried to move lower, but reversed hard, and I stopped out per plan (momo adds above $204.4 and core above VWAP.
That's a great trade! 100% I would take that setup again and again and again. Great entries, great adds pressing to the short realizing the great r/r, and PERFECT risk management. Papercut loss based on the size I carried.
However, the stupid name touched $205 and did a hard reversal lower, that f*cked me mentally. Instead of keep going, it came back down in a manner that I felt I had to get back in.
Got back in with half-size as before, risking $205 to the penny, expecting the move lower.
Covered some when it flushed through LOD, and had bids in-front of $202, which never got hit. At that point I was back green on the name.
Came back and started holding below previous LOD, so I decided to add back some shares, risking tight stop at $204.5, since not only I was right in the first place but now QQQs were looking ready to lose the 200EMA@60min and move lower.
Well, what a bear trap on MSFT and QQQs as well.
Got stopped out for a total of 1.5xTier I loss....
Worst thing is that I feel I should have made money on this trade.
Tried it one more time on the afternoon but I did not have the confidence to hold...
Execution detail:
Date/time | Symbol | Side | Price | Position |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020-07-16 09:33:33 | MSFT | sell | $204.840 | short |
2020-07-16 09:41:00 | MSFT | sell | $205.340 | short |
2020-07-16 09:42:46 | MSFT | sell | $205.080 | short |
2020-07-16 09:49:23 | MSFT | sell | $204.770 | short |
2020-07-16 09:57:21 | MSFT | sell | $204.570 | short |
2020-07-16 10:15:38 | MSFT | sell | $203.680 | short |
2020-07-16 10:20:32 | MSFT | sell | $203.660 | short |
2020-07-16 10:24:55 | MSFT | sell | $203.690 | short |
2020-07-16 10:38:40 | MSFT | buy | $204.410 | short |
2020-07-16 10:40:57 | MSFT | buy | $204.870 | 0 |
2020-07-16 10:54:15 | MSFT | sell | $203.940 | short |
2020-07-16 10:57:58 | MSFT | buy | $203.160 | short |
2020-07-16 11:31:31 | MSFT | sell | $203.090 | short |
2020-07-16 11:39:20 | MSFT | sell | $203.050 | short |
2020-07-16 11:41:22 | MSFT | sell | $203.100 | short |
2020-07-16 11:53:14 | MSFT | sell | $203.320 | short |
2020-07-16 11:54:21 | MSFT | buy | $203.450 | short |
2020-07-16 11:54:21 | MSFT | buy | $203.445 | 0 |
2020-07-16 14:04:06 | MSFT | sell | $203.840 | short |
2020-07-16 14:04:07 | MSFT | sell | $203.840 | short |
2020-07-16 14:07:24 | MSFT | buy | $204.200 | 0 |
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