MBLY Trade on Mar 16, 2015 09:51 from foldelinio_BOWS: Tradervue User Stock Trades.

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foldelinio_BOWS

 

153.15M float/11.50% short of float/no info on institutionals

Playbook: What a move! Three days ago, Goldman upgraded them with a price target of 50$ and now they are coming around the corner with a secondary offering! I laughed...really. SO - price is rumored to be around 38$ and we spiked there premarket already. Some overnight shorts. I expect Goldman on the bid the entire day. 38$ will be key support/42.50$ first resistance on the daily. Waiting for a red/green move on the open.

Stop:40.95$
R:8

What! A! PLAY!! This was so obvious! Washout premarket to secondary offering price. Social media all over the place waiting to short this POS, but suddenly: Goldman!!

Initial entry was a tad sloppy, because I tried to play the ORB but 41.00s were supported by a 100share iceberg, so guess who it was^^ I immediately doubled my position anticipating a red/green.

Volume did not kick in on the r/g and around 41.48s I though they had lost it. Bids really got hammered, but they came back every time. After that, it seemed like the algo was working off of .20$ intervals, because the .40s held before they pushed to the .80s, then it dropped to the .60s, which got bought again into 42.00s and it dropped back to the .80s and so on. So I bought alonside the algo and trucked ahead.

On the drop from 42.30 to 42.00, the book acted a little weird. 42.00 didn't get bought as instantly as during the other occasions and it dropped below, where natural bids would push it back up. So I though, they maybe completed the task and closed the trade for 8R!


Execution detail:

Date/time Symbol Side Price Position
2015-03-16 09:51:14 MBLY buy $41.200 long
2015-03-16 10:17:31 MBLY buy $41.000 long
2015-03-16 11:22:53 MBLY buy $41.470 long
2015-03-16 11:39:02 MBLY sell $41.480 long
2015-03-16 12:05:06 MBLY buy $41.650 long
2015-03-16 12:20:53 MBLY sell $41.834 long
2015-03-16 12:25:51 MBLY buy $41.810 long
2015-03-16 12:32:51 MBLY sell $41.990 long
2015-03-16 12:55:13 MBLY buy $42.020 long
2015-03-16 12:59:20 MBLY sell $42.180 long
2015-03-16 13:53:20 MBLY sell $41.980 0


Comments

2015-03-16 14:57:51
 

Nice work Johannes. You traded institutionally, didn't you?

2015-03-16 16:52:14
 

Thx Peter. I whish I would have some institutional experience, but I'm completely retail. It's just thousands of hours of screentime during the last couple of years :)

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