Earnings Release:
* EPS beat, rev. miss -17.7% Y/Y, with rev. related to solar business -19% Y/Y. Ouch:/
* gross margin slight improvement
* Q4 rev. guidance below consensus!!
* Short float 6.5%, 2.2 DtC, 90% inst. ownership
* +180% YTD before the gap-down vs SPY +4.4%.
-18% premarket, some got annihilated.
Remained very weak premarket, creeping lower towards S1=$213.
S2=20SMA@weekly=$209.5, then S3=$204.5. Below S3, next major daily support level at S4=$196.
Premarket plan was to short the morning pop towards R1=premarket resist. pivot=$222, or (even better) R2=$228, for the roll-over and the flush towards S2=$209.5 or S3=$204.5.
I had a bit of FOMO going on here, as it looked very weak and I knew there were many chances just to flush towards S2-S3 at the open w/o providing a calculated entry.
And that's what happenned.
Opened below S1=$premarket low=$213, rejected it, and then quickly moved lower all the way to $200!
Hard bounce from $200 all the way to S1=$213. What a market gift!!
Scaled into the short risking above R1=$222, got big when it rejected the desc. resistance trendline that had established at premarket session, tightening stop to HOD=$218, expecting the retest of S3=$204.5.
Covered small at S2=$209.5, and bulk in-front of S3=$204.5.
Small add when it finally cleared S3 and moved lower towards LOD=$201.5.
Scalped the channel, shorting the pops to resistance S3=$204.5-205.5 zone, and taking covers in-front of LOD=$201.5, unti it stopped working.
Decided to hold about 20% of core size as a swing short:
- big intraday PnL on the name
- weak close near the bottom of intraday range, and below VWAP
- daily has potential for lower prices
-$14 opening flush on Day II, covered some in-front of premarket low=$197.5s and at the extention to $190. Got filled 10c above LOD=$190.1! Nice:))))
Held a small trailer as rest of solar names (TAN, JKS, FSLR) were getting hit by GOP taking senate, thinking SEDG might see $180-182 the following days.
However, it did a complete reversal and found its way inside Day I range, even breaking above yesterday's close=$206.
Covered rest before the close.
HUGE swing short. Nice trade.
Execution detail:
Date/time | Symbol | Side | Price | Position |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020-11-03 09:38:09 | SEDG | sell | $212.400 | short |
2020-11-03 09:38:09 | SEDG | sell | $212.440 | short |
2020-11-03 09:42:01 | SEDG | sell | $211.940 | short |
2020-11-03 09:44:35 | SEDG | sell | $214.710 | short |
2020-11-03 09:45:49 | SEDG | sell | $213.010 | short |
2020-11-03 09:51:27 | SEDG | sell | $211.400 | short |
2020-11-03 09:55:57 | SEDG | sell | $216.960 | short |
2020-11-03 10:00:31 | SEDG | sell | $213.710 | short |
2020-11-03 10:02:21 | SEDG | sell | $213.050 | short |
2020-11-03 10:04:21 | SEDG | sell | $213.180 | short |
2020-11-03 10:05:39 | SEDG | buy | $210.210 | short |
2020-11-03 10:18:03 | SEDG | buy | $208.210 | short |
2020-11-03 10:22:24 | SEDG | buy | $205.610 | short |
2020-11-03 10:48:58 | SEDG | buy | $205.110 | short |
2020-11-03 11:26:25 | SEDG | sell | $204.100 | short |
2020-11-03 11:36:04 | SEDG | buy | $202.140 | short |
2020-11-03 12:25:59 | SEDG | buy | $202.500 | short |
2020-11-03 13:03:18 | SEDG | sell | $204.760 | short |
2020-11-03 13:13:39 | SEDG | sell | $204.200 | short |
2020-11-03 13:26:35 | SEDG | buy | $202.650 | short |
2020-11-03 13:48:02 | SEDG | buy | $205.680 | short |
2020-11-03 13:48:09 | SEDG | buy | $206.110 | short |
2020-11-03 13:48:09 | SEDG | buy | $206.110 | short |
2020-11-03 15:17:49 | SEDG | sell | $202.320 | short |
2020-11-03 15:23:46 | SEDG | sell | $202.920 | short |
2020-11-03 15:25:35 | SEDG | buy | $204.095 | short |
2020-11-04 09:32:00 | SEDG | buy | $197.750 | short |
2020-11-04 09:41:18 | SEDG | buy | $190.210 | short |
2020-11-04 15:53:54 | SEDG | buy | $207.220 | 0 |
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