The trade on the XLE, XLI names has definitely changed. Not so simple as shorting the pops to resistance. Must be careful from now on.
Up big premarket (+6% or so), pressing against R1=200SMA@daily=$27.4. R2=YTD AVWAP=$28.45 was definitely a level I was watching to hit it hard.
Opened super-strong, broke above R1 and rallied to R2.
Got short Tier 0 at the extention towards R2, risking above R2=$28.5. Slowly added more size after each failed attempt to break $28.3 and push towards HOD, tightening stop to HOD=$28.35, expecting sellers to step in and push it back to VWAP at a minimum. Ultimate target was R1=$27.4.
I saw the higher lows, 15min chart was looking extremely bullish, so the moment it started crawling back towards $28.3 instead of breaking lower, I bailed.
One quick scalp once it broke above R2 was all I did afterwards for a small winner.
(+) Excellent tape reading, realized that squeeze was coming and got out, avoiding the loss
NOTE:
1. When a name is super-strong in the morning, and remains strong throughout the whole session, then you have to wait for a "Technical Reversal" pattern in a timeframe > 15min chart, ideally the 60min chart, before trying to get short. The candle before reversing would be a "gravestone" doji in most cases. That's an observation that I have made and holds true in most cases when a name remained strong intra-day but I wanted to get "short".
Example - WFC
1. There is no "Technical Reversal on the 15min" chart.
2. The "Technical Reversal" appears on the 30min chart with the gravestone doji.
Execution detail:
Date/time | Symbol | Side | Price | Position |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020-11-24 10:08:27 | WFC | sell | $28.275 | short |
2020-11-24 10:10:41 | WFC | sell | $28.160 | short |
2020-11-24 10:30:57 | WFC | sell | $28.185 | short |
2020-11-24 10:37:59 | WFC | sell | $28.155 | short |
2020-11-24 10:58:26 | WFC | sell | $28.150 | short |
2020-11-24 11:11:32 | WFC | sell | $28.180 | short |
2020-11-24 11:12:31 | WFC | sell | $28.160 | short |
2020-11-24 11:12:40 | WFC | sell | $28.162 | short |
2020-11-24 11:34:04 | WFC | buy | $28.215 | 0 |
2020-11-24 12:11:56 | WFC | sell | $28.500 | short |
2020-11-24 12:11:56 | WFC | sell | $28.500 | short |
2020-11-24 12:11:56 | WFC | sell | $28.500 | short |
2020-11-24 12:17:32 | WFC | buy | $28.460 | short |
2020-11-24 12:18:39 | WFC | buy | $28.460 | short |
2020-11-24 12:19:15 | WFC | buy | $28.460 | short |
2020-11-24 12:22:50 | WFC | buy | $28.420 | short |
2020-11-24 12:25:02 | WFC | buy | $28.470 | short |
2020-11-24 12:25:02 | WFC | buy | $28.470 | short |
2020-11-24 12:25:02 | WFC | buy | $28.470 | short |
2020-11-24 12:25:02 | WFC | buy | $28.470 | short |
2020-11-24 12:25:02 | WFC | buy | $28.470 | 0 |
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