Z Trade on Feb 11, 2021 15:43 from Marius: Tradervue User Stock Trades.

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Marius

 

Some profit taking yesterday in the markets but continued bid up and companies with earnings beats and good guidances.

Fundamental Analysis

Z operates real estate brands on mobile and web. It offers buying, selling, renting, and financing services. Marketing software and technology solutions is a strong business model for the company. This is also with a strong housing market accompanying low interest rates in a recovering, expanding, and adapting economy. It is positioned well and adapting to the needs of current and future consumers. The company reported earnings and has now posted 3 consecutive quarterly beats and is guiding higher growth moving with the economy going forward.

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Quantitative Analysis

Intraday Fundamentals

RVOL 4.88
AVOL 2.80M
ATR 9.57
Short Float 14.32%
Shs Float 161.68M
Inst Own -
Market Cap 32.18B

Options Statistics + Tape Reading

SI 2.845
IV 63.93%
IVP 9%
P/C 0.476
VWAP 190.965

Calls side directional order flow looking at the volume and trades at the ASK. IVP is on the lower end possibly implying more steady trend price action. (will have to go back and check this later)

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Options Positioning

OI 1507
VOL 850
Delta -.01
Theta -.11
Vega .01
Gamma .00
Prob T 3.76%
Prob ITM 1.92%
MMM +/- 9.117
IV Series 85.57%

Noting I probably could have done better selecting a closer strike but more risk adverse at this point of my trading for the month. More in high probability scalp mode at the moment.

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Technical Analysis

Noting the profit taking pattern after gap-up on earnings price action previously, hence a further strike selected.

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Trade/Risk Management & Review

Excellent earnings scalp trade. Need to work on getting closer strikes. Was more risk adverse here and selected positioning further out with straight premium selling. Risk management is a stronger component to the overall trade. As seen in last weeks prior large trade drawdown, executions and risk management go hand in hand second to the trade idea. Again no matter how good the trade setup is one needs to be specific, specific, and specific to be consistently profitable and continue scaling up and adding risk responsibly.


Execution detail:

Date/time Symbol Side Price Position
2021-02-11 15:43:49 12 FEB 21 150 PUT sell $0.1100 short
2021-02-11 15:43:49 12 FEB 21 150 PUT sell $0.1100 short
2021-02-11 15:43:49 12 FEB 21 150 PUT sell $0.1100 short
2021-02-12 20:00:00 12 FEB 21 150 PUT buy $0.0000 0


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