Earnings Report:
-- EPS beat, rev. miss but +11% Y/Y
-- Active clients up 12% Y/Y but net rev./client down -7%
-- EBITDA negative missing est. was the main one!!
-- 65% institutional holding, +14% short float.
Big gap-down premarket (approx. 25%) after earnings report, right in-front of major support S1=$52.4. S2=premarket low=$50, then S3=door to daily gap created after previous earnings=$48.58. R1=$55, then R2=$65.
Premarket plan was to stay put until the short float takes profit and then see if I can get a short at higher prices. But things played out differently.
Opened weak and instantly flushed thru S1 to premarket low S2=$50. Tried to bounce, reclaimed S1 but couldn't even make it to R1. Didn't hold S1 for more than 5mins before breaking lower.
Got short Tier 0, risking above S1=$52.4, added three momemtum tiers for the break of S2=LOD=$50, risking VWAP for the adds, expecting the momo sell-off to S3=$48.5.
Wicked thru $50, instant reclaim and push higher and I trimmed a lot of size quickly, thinking 14% short float. Left with 30% respecting stop above S1.
Brutal rejection at $52 and back below VWAP, and at that point sellers took complete control. Such a weak tape:
-- offers pressing lower, with instant re-offering every time someone attacked the ask.
-- big bids appeared close to and below S2=LOD=$50.
---> Someone was getting out.
Reloaded initial size adding another half-tier, risking above the lower high and $52 whole number, got max. size at the super tight 15min consolidation below S2=$50, tightening stop to $50.7, expecting the move to S3, and thinking about potential gap-fill on daily all the way to S4=$42.3.
Covered 70% on the way to S3, reloaded small after lower high below VWAP risking above S2=previous LOD, since it continued to show extreme weakness, wanting blood and S4.
The reclaim of 9EMA@15min chart on increased volume after "double-bottoming" at $47.5, showed me that it was probably done for the day, already -30%, so I got flat.
Remains on main watch for the gap-fill. Day I LOD=$47.5!
Execution detail:
Date/time | Symbol | Side | Price | Position |
---|---|---|---|---|
2021-03-09 09:47:12 | SFIX | sell | $51.060 | short |
2021-03-09 09:53:21 | SFIX | sell | $50.810 | short |
2021-03-09 09:53:49 | SFIX | sell | $50.400 | short |
2021-03-09 09:54:31 | SFIX | sell | $49.980 | short |
2021-03-09 09:56:55 | SFIX | buy | $51.130 | short |
2021-03-09 09:58:17 | SFIX | buy | $51.790 | short |
2021-03-09 10:04:30 | SFIX | sell | $51.030 | short |
2021-03-09 10:06:48 | SFIX | sell | $50.790 | short |
2021-03-09 10:06:58 | SFIX | sell | $50.870 | short |
2021-03-09 10:11:57 | SFIX | sell | $49.870 | short |
2021-03-09 10:12:25 | SFIX | sell | $50.010 | short |
2021-03-09 10:19:06 | SFIX | sell | $49.960 | short |
2021-03-09 10:20:37 | SFIX | sell | $49.880 | short |
2021-03-09 10:31:29 | SFIX | sell | $49.990 | short |
2021-03-09 10:32:14 | SFIX | sell | $49.860 | short |
2021-03-09 10:37:29 | SFIX | sell | $49.740 | short |
2021-03-09 10:37:29 | SFIX | sell | $49.740 | short |
2021-03-09 10:48:06 | SFIX | buy | $49.220 | short |
2021-03-09 10:48:42 | SFIX | buy | $49.120 | short |
2021-03-09 10:50:33 | SFIX | buy | $48.860 | short |
2021-03-09 10:53:22 | SFIX | buy | $48.720 | short |
2021-03-09 11:11:12 | SFIX | buy | $48.110 | short |
2021-03-09 12:26:58 | SFIX | sell | $49.230 | short |
2021-03-09 13:29:36 | SFIX | buy | $48.890 | 0 |
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