MSFT opened strong, rising from 250 to 252 in less than 30 minutes. However, it found resistance at a used Daily Supply Zone at 252.15. I was wary to get short because consolidation at intraday highs is usually a bullish signal. However, I believed that /ES and /NQ weakness would bring MSFT down out of its tight 10-10:20 consolidation.
At 10:20 I was filled when I fought for price by getting a short entry at the upper level of the consolidation period. I had a 3:1 RR
I was quickly stopped out at 10:21 when a high volume green candle broke above the supply zone. I didn't want to flip my bias and get long on the breakout because /ES and /NQ were still weak.
Lesson Learned: Supply puts work better when the rejection is quick. To get short, I should look for a fast rejection instead of consolidation right under supply.
After Daily Supply at 252.15 failed to act as resistance to the 10:21 breakout. I wanted to get long if that level could hold. At 10:24 it wicked below that level then price was pushed back up. That was a good sign that buyers were somewhat strong at that level. From 10:25 to 10:29 price consolidated right above that level.
My thesis was that strength from the first hour of trading would continue now that a resistance level was broken. At 10:29 I got long at at the bottom of the recent 1m consolidation. I had a 3:1 RR. When old resistance didn't act as new support I was stopped out. I did a good job exiting when my thesis was proven wrong.
Lesson Learned: I don't have edge with breakout retests. I should stick to the SD strategy for now and once I'm good at that I can consider learning other strategies. I can't give breakout retests the attention they deserve because my mind is not on learning them.
Execution detail:
Date/time | Symbol | Side | Price | Position |
---|---|---|---|---|
2021-06-07 10:20:38 | 11 JUN 21 250 PUT | buy | $1.340 | long |
2021-06-07 10:21:59 | 11 JUN 21 250 PUT | sell | $1.260 | 0 |
2021-06-07 10:29:12 | 11 JUN 21 255 CALL | buy | $1.040 | long |
2021-06-07 10:31:38 | 11 JUN 21 255 CALL | sell | $0.9900 | 0 |
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