NIO had 6h Supply at 51.30
It opened up and looked strong for the first two minutes. Then at 9:32 it rejected the 51.30 6 Hour Supply Zone with a red 1m candle. Consolidation followed and at 9:34 I wrote, "I like NIO short under 50.80."
This was the low of the 9:32 - 9:35 consolidation and I felt that a break below would act as a good entry signal. At 9:36 I was filled on my short on a wick under that level with a 3:1 RR.
Buyers immediately stepped in and pushed price above 50.80 support before the 1m candle closed, and buyers got stronger the next minute when I was stopped out at 9:37.
My reentry short would've been on a 1m close under 50.70. I would've been careful to avoid entering just bc a candle is currently below a level. Instead, waiting for the close would be appropriate.
Lesson Learned: Entry signals should not just involve a price being hit. Instead, add a time, volume, or momentum aspect to my entry signal. For example, I could say, "If price spends 45 seconds under 50.80 or shows momentum to the downside under 50.80 I will enter short."
Execution detail:
Date/time | Symbol | Side | Price | Position |
---|---|---|---|---|
2021-06-30 09:36:23 | 2 JUL 21 50 PUT | buy | $0.9700 | long |
2021-06-30 09:37:34 | 2 JUL 21 50 PUT | sell | $0.8300 | 0 |
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