DLTR Trade on Aug 26, 2021 15:11 from Marius: Tradervue User Stock Trades.

Tail-end of corporate earnings season and approaching EOM. Monetary policy updates with central bank at the annual Jackson Hole event EOW. Lighter volume to start the week but market waiting for any less likely un-priced in announcements. Continued dovish commentary was reiterated by Powell and market rallied into the end of the week.

Fundamentals In Play Analysis

Dollar Tree reported an EPS beat but with a Revenue miss. They also guided Q3 and FY EPS lower with more anticipated decreased margins due to ocean freight costs. This is expected to improve at the far end of 2022 into 2023.

(partial data review)

Quantitative Analysis

Intraday Fundamentals

RVOL 7.0
AVOL 2.56M
ATR 1.81
Beta 0.85
Volatility 1.78% 1.87%
Short Float 2.14%
Shs Float 228.94M
Inst Own 90.50%
Market Cap 24.27B

Options Statistics + Tape Reading + Order Flow + Dark Pool Levels + Flow Sentiment

SI 5.033
IV 29.98%
IVP 37%
P/C 0.423
VWAP 94.861

(partial data review)

Options Positioning

OI 1684 466
VOL 184 129
Delta .03 .01
Theta -.05 -.02
Vega .00 .00
Gamma .01 .00
Prob T 4.57% 1.58%
Prob ITM 2.26% 0.78%
MMM +/- 2.293
IV Series 43.96%

Earnings Statistics

Technical Analysis

Trade Setup/Execution Grade + Risk (risk:premium) + Positioning + Size/Allocation Management & Review

(A/B) setup / (B) execution. 1/2RP, conservative positioning, ~14% allocation. Overall OGT within playbook. Partial data review due to travel but was able to execute and plan desk/mobile hybrid.