Tail-end of corporate earnings season and approaching EOM. Monetary policy updates with central bank at the annual Jackson Hole event EOW. Lighter volume to start the week but market waiting for any less likely un-priced in announcements. Continued dovish commentary was reiterated by Powell and market rallied into the end of the week.
Fundamentals In Play Analysis
NVIDIA reported beats on earnings and revenues. They also issued upside guidance for Q3. Their business has expanded in multiple segments including, gaming, data center, automotive, and cryptocurrency. They did have a bearish view on the cryptocurrency segment and they talked about a trending segment on professional visualization specifically for the virtual metaverse space. They continue to be a leader in the semiconductor industry although with higher valuations.
Quantitative Analysis
Intraday Fundamentals
RVOL 1.43
AVOL 39.82M
ATR 7.77
Beta 1.35
Volatility 4.97% 3.38%
Short Float 1.25%
Shs Float 2.39B
Inst Own 66.80%
Market Cap 520.43B
Options Statistics + Tape Reading + Order Flow + Dark Pool Levels + Flow Sentiment
SI 1.591
IV 38.78%
IVP 20%
P/C 0.369
VWAP 216.275
Options Positioning
OI 4333 1019
VOL 2139 350
Delta -.01 .00
Theta -.05 -.01
Vega .01 .00
Gamma .00 .00
Prob T 3.03% 0.61%
Prob ITM 1.53% 0.31%
MMM +/- 8.189
IV Series 41.06%
Earnings Statistics
Technical Analysis
Trade Setup/Execution Grade + Risk (risk:premium) + Positioning + Size/Allocation Management & Review
(A) setup / (A) execution. 1/2RP, very conservative positioning, ~17% allocation. Continuing to build the + day 1 plays and building edge. Still on the very conservative end but will step up risk in working setups by bringing delta's higher w/ specific price risk levels.
Execution detail:
Date/time | Symbol | Side | Price | Position |
---|---|---|---|---|
2021-08-23 15:23:09 | 27 AUG 21 185 PUT | sell | $0.0900 | short |
2021-08-23 15:23:09 | 27 AUG 21 165 PUT | buy | $0.0200 | long |
2021-08-27 15:59:59 | 27 AUG 21 185 PUT | buy | $0.0000 | 0 |
2021-08-27 15:59:59 | 27 AUG 21 165 PUT | sell | $0.0000 | 0 |
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