ZM Trade on Aug 31, 2021 15:42 from Marius: Tradervue User Stock Trades.

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Marius

 

This week followed with continued bullish sentiment from the end of last week. This week opened into a new month of trading and into labor day weekend. Historically a lower volume week with traders off and returning after Labor Day. Opportunities still came up in the markets and with notable jobs data that came in lower than expected. The FED is keeping these data as important insights to the eventual tapering timeline. This currently is being priced in as bullish with the current under target reporting and bids in the market.

Fundamentals In Play Analysis

Zoom Video reported EPS beats and increases in Revenues but inline to lower guidance. They also have strong peer competition with Microsoft and Cisco Systems. There also has been a work and education shift with the pandemic also seen in similar companies that are seeing profit taking. More notably Zoom Video trades a t a 75x forward earnings valuations which is considerably higher than its peers. In-line guidance for high growth stocks w/ higher valuations has been met with profit taking and possibly capital opportunity costs.

Quantitative Analysis

Intraday Fundamentals

RVOL 10.64
AVOL 3.24M
ATR 15.99
Beta -
Volatility 2.93% 3.32%
Short Float 4.98%
Shs Float 202.92M
Inst Own 59.90%
Market Cap 85.25B

Options Statistics + Tape Reading + Order Flow + Dark Pool Levels + Flow Sentiment

SI 4.566
IV 46.20%
IVP 21%
P/C 0.725
VWAP 291.764

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Options Positioning

OI 1837 1466
VOL 2355 1646
Delta .01 .00
Theta -.10 -.02
Vega .01 .00
Gamma .00 .00
Prob T 2.38% 0.51%
Prob ITM 1.17% 0.25%
MMM +/- 13.667
IV Series 58.45%

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Earnings Statistics

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Technical Analysis

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Trade Setup/Execution Grade + Risk (risk:premium) + Positioning + Size/Allocation Management & Review

(A) setup / (A) execution. 1/2RP, conservative positioning, ~19% allocation. This is a trade I should consider increasing position risk. This can adapt into an (A+) trade and will need to be recognized in future trades. Consider increased delta's as seen with current developing trades.


Execution detail:

Date/time Symbol Side Price Position
2021-08-31 15:42:23 3 SEP 21 350 CALL sell $0.1300 short
2021-08-31 15:42:23 3 SEP 21 370 CALL buy $0.0300 long
2021-09-03 15:59:59 3 SEP 21 350 CALL buy $0.0000 0
2021-09-03 15:59:59 3 SEP 21 370 CALL sell $0.0000 0


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