AMBA Trade on Sep 1, 2021 14:35 from Marius: Tradervue User Stock Trades.

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Marius

 

This week followed with continued bullish sentiment from the end of last week. This week opened into a new month of trading and into labor day weekend. Historically a lower volume week with traders off and returning after Labor Day. Opportunities still came up in the markets and with notable jobs data that came in lower than expected. The FED is keeping these data as important insights to the eventual tapering timeline. This currently is being priced in as bullish with the current under target reporting and bids in the market.

Fundamentals In Play Analysis

Ambarella has pivoted into a leading developer of AI-based computer vision technology. It posted revenue declines form 3Q18 to 3Q21. The company has been investing in research and development and is now pivoting in FY22 with recent quarterly results. As a re-merging growth stock it has segments in security and automobile cameras. This is in-line with the current demand and developments within that industry. Revenues are increased along w/ margins.

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Quantitative Analysis

Intraday Fundamentals

RVOL 15.13
AVOL 341.58k
ATR 5.27
Beta 1.40
Volatility 5.84% 3.72%
Short Float 3.67%
Shs Float 34.55M
Inst Own 82.10%
Market Cap 4.59B

Options Statistics + Tape Reading + Order Flow + Dark Pool Levels + Flow Sentiment

SI 3.344
IV 54.16%
IVP 25%
P/C 0.621
VWAP 126.5

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Options Positioning

OI 5 56
VOL 32 96
Delta -.03 -.01
Theta -.17 -.08
Vega .01 .00
Gamma .01 .00
Prob T 8.14% 3.73%
Prob ITM 4.15% 1.90%
MMM +/- 7.87
IV Series 94.44%

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Earnings Statistics

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Technical Analysis

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Trade Setup/Execution Grade + Risk (risk:premium) + Positioning + Size/Allocation Management & Review

(A) setup / (A) execution. 1/2RP, moderate positioning, ~14% allocation. Order flow was increased with a notable catalyst. I had moderate positioning which is a development from a recent trade. The execution was better in this instance with the challenging option order flow. The price action helped here a long with knowing the fundamental changes taking place within the related industry. This is also a very technical bullish longer-term setup and worth considering an investment position.

Weekly + Monthly Trading Review

This is a brief overview and review since having reviewed half of the prior months trades in one sitting. The main point I'd like to emphasize is that I'm trading a lot more in volume and managing multiple trades at a higher level. The prior week would have been a personal record for me if my additional trade executions were hit. I'm still fighting for price and not just placing trades at mediocre prices. I spent more time on the execution side of my trading recently and it is helping learning the order flow algorithm and market maker movement. Not enough to gain edge but a good experience for getting better pricing and eventually more aggressive positioning as this will further expand my business. For the new month I'll continue to focus on possible more aggressive closer ATM and higher delta positioning while managing risks. I should consider narrowing my ATR but will keep in mind the market movements as it is trading at higher and riskier multiples. As long as I stay within my edge parameters and playbooks I should be able to build and grow into this area. Grateful for this opportunity and mindful of my timeline development. I'll be networking in person in an upcoming conference and will be interesting as trading develops further. Excited to continue this journey with the like minded growing community.


Execution detail:

Date/time Symbol Side Price Position
2021-09-01 14:35:30 3 SEP 21 111 PUT sell $0.1600 short
2021-09-01 14:35:30 3 SEP 21 105 PUT buy $0.0900 long
2021-09-01 15:57:20 3 SEP 21 111 PUT sell $0.1500 short
2021-09-01 15:57:20 3 SEP 21 105 PUT buy $0.0700 long
2021-09-03 15:59:59 3 SEP 21 111 PUT buy $0.0000 0
2021-09-03 15:59:59 3 SEP 21 105 PUT sell $0.0000 0


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