Daily but esp. weekly chart looks set for the break-down of $203 and a move towards $185s.
- Rejecting 9SMA@weekly
- Below 50SMA@weekly
- Room to the down-side. No imminent support below $203.
- DIA & DJT showing weakness vs rest market, same goes for the whole cyclical/refletion trade.
Got short filler size, risking previous weekly candle's high.
Thesis played out quickly and in a big way. I was very well-prepared and executed perfectly.
Premarket plan was to get "short" only when it managed to clear and hold below support S1=$203, expecting move to S2=$199.3 for starters.
Opened below the support level, tried to remount at the open, but got rejected.
Added Tier 0, risking yesterday's close $203.6, expecting to roll-over and move back to LOD.
Very weak action. Covered small at LOD, more at quick flush to $200.5. Buyers tried to make a stance in-front of $200s, so I lightened more and started thinking of good spots/prices to re-establish size.
Pop out-of-nowhere to VWAP was market gift. Added one tier, risking tight stop above $202s, then added another tier as name was holding below VWAP putting a series of lower highs and "sell-off into the close" pattern emerged.
Covered small in-front of LOD, added two momo tiers once it broke, got rejected to the penny and held below, risking tight stop $200.6s for the adds, expecting momo flush to target S1=$199.3.
Covered momo adds + some core at flush lower, held rest size swing short, stop $202, targets $199-199.3, then $185 zone.
(+) That's one hell of short trade, from thesis to price action reading to execution!!
Execution detail:
Date/time | Symbol | Side | Price | Position |
---|---|---|---|---|
2021-09-16 14:29:18 | CAT | sell | $203.930 | short |
2021-09-16 14:29:36 | CAT | buy | $204.000 | 0 |
2021-09-16 14:30:01 | CAT | sell | $204.000 | short |
2021-09-16 15:10:11 | CAT | buy | $204.580 | 0 |
2021-09-16 15:34:10 | CAT | sell | $204.080 | short |
2021-09-17 09:35:41 | CAT | sell | $202.860 | short |
2021-09-17 09:49:06 | CAT | buy | $202.020 | short |
2021-09-17 10:05:27 | CAT | buy | $200.540 | short |
2021-09-17 10:54:10 | CAT | buy | $200.980 | short |
2021-09-17 11:15:00 | CAT | sell | $201.470 | short |
2021-09-17 12:07:27 | CAT | sell | $201.190 | short |
2021-09-17 12:18:40 | CAT | sell | $200.940 | short |
2021-09-17 13:23:53 | CAT | buy | $200.550 | short |
2021-09-17 13:39:37 | CAT | buy | $200.660 | short |
2021-09-17 14:01:18 | CAT | sell | $200.195 | short |
2021-09-17 14:12:19 | CAT | sell | $200.230 | short |
2021-09-17 14:33:37 | CAT | buy | $199.850 | short |
2021-09-17 14:39:26 | CAT | buy | $199.910 | short |
2021-09-17 14:40:56 | CAT | buy | $199.948 | short |
2021-09-20 04:01:01 | CAT | buy | $198.860 | short |
2021-09-20 07:00:03 | CAT | buy | $195.220 | short |
2021-09-20 11:30:11 | CAT | buy | $190.710 | 0 |
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