AFRM Trade on Sep 16, 2021 15:09 from Marius: Tradervue User Stock Trades.

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Marius

 

Options expirations week with quarterlies and with end of current corporate earnings season. Some economic reports and selling momentum continuations from last week. FED monetary policy meeting next week to close the month as well.

Fundamentals In Play Analysis

Affirm has had two recent fundamental events within the past 2 weeks. On 08/30 it had announced that it had partnered with Amazon to provided BNPL services. And on 09/09 the company reported earnings that pointed to continued + diversified growth in the BNPL service space. This has been an area of attention within the market and competition is rising. Affirm is emerging as a premier growth stock within its peers and market industry.

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Quantitative Analysis

Intraday Fundamentals

RVOL 2.88
AVOL 6.04M
ATR 8.69
Beta -
VIX 18.69
Volatility 11.25% 7.21%
Short Float 8.67%
Shs Float 97.01M
Inst Own 84.20%
Market Cap 23.20B

Options Statistics + Tape Reading + Order Flow + Dark Pool Levels + Flow Sentiment

SI 1.245
IV 80.53%
IVP -
P/C 0.255
VWAP 115.644

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Options Positioning

OI 3179 7445
VOL 416 41
Delta -.02 .00
Theta -.08 -.03
Vega .00 .00
Gamma .00 .00
Prob T 4.11% 1.39%
Prob ITM 2.10% 0.71%
MMM +/- 5.415
IV Series 82.27%

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Earnings Statistics

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Technical Analysis

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Trade Setup/Execution Grade + Risk (risk:premium) + Positioning + Size/Allocation Management & Review

(A/B) setup / (A) execution. 1/2RP, conservative positioning, 14% allocation. I had been waiting patiently for this trade to set up for my playbook. The initial event was traded as a single sided pair trade on AMZN. This trade had more fundamental emphasis on the recent ER event but with the former mentioned catalyst included. Price levels were more heavily used here as the days developed with additional days on price discovery on the individual stock + the market. I'd say there were two signal parameters within this playbook to be adapted and executed. This is another playbook adaption + expansion for the business. Conservative in terms of positioning + allocation but in process to build onto.

Weekly Trading Review

This week was more challenging due to the fewer scheduled/anticipated events + the market finding sellers since last week. There has been a perceived market sentiment change/reset. Good trading this week and current capital has been increased by 15% overall. Risk will be added appropriately and trades will be pressed and executed as the market develops and provides opportunity. Keeping in mind my own development continuing to adapt, expand, and build. One area I need to build onto is networking and becoming more active within my peers and communities. Keeping an upcoming conference as a day where I can improve as an active participant and possibly bring trading to the next level with others.

"If you want to go fast, go alone. If you want to go far, go with others." Keeping in mind the latter going forward.


Execution detail:

Date/time Symbol Side Price Position
2021-09-16 15:09:19 17 SEP 21 95 PUT sell $0.0800 short
2021-09-16 15:09:19 17 SEP 21 85 PUT buy $0.0300 long
2021-09-17 15:59:59 17 SEP 21 95 PUT buy $0.0000 0
2021-09-17 15:59:59 17 SEP 21 85 PUT sell $0.0000 0


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