Mother of all stonks. What a bubble, what a move. Name went +40% in 12 days, now has a market cap of $1.2T while it does $40-50B in revs!!, not even profits...Insane:/
Setup checked all variables of a "Blow-off Top" playbook trade, would have been A+ if it had gapped higher premarket.
"Blow-off Top" Setup
1a. Parabolic Move: stock way over-extended from the 9SMAs @ daily + weekly charts. Check!
1b. (extra) daily RSI>>80 + (bonus) weekly RSI>>80 + (bonus) monthly RSI>>80!!
2. Previous day: big out-sized green candle that traded much larger volume than the average volume in the previous days, closing near/at HOD. Check!
3. Today: stock gaps up higher premarket = exhaustion gap!! --->
-- exhaustion gap = A+ setup
-- no exhaustion gap = A setup
4. Next day - 2nd day play and continuation lower.
Opening pop to R1=yesterday's close=analysts price target consensus=OI premium wall=$1,200 deserved some risk to the "short" side, at least opening a filler size short:
-- Got short filler size at the opening pop to yesterday's HOD=$1,210, risking wide stop $1,251.
-- Added another half-tier, risking same stop, after premarket gap-up and open just below $1,250
-- No further adds here, until seller establishes himself, backside becomes obvious and stop well-defined:/
-- 1st Target = 9SMA@weekly, main target $885-900 breakout level
Great covers into low $1,000s as Elon sold shares. With Elon on the offer selling for tax purposes (inelastic), every pop should be a fade!!
12-2021
Great re-entries and main size add on the backside, as it got rejected close to $1,200. We have the lower high. Tightened stop to ATHs.
Covering slowly towards main target $900.
01-26-2021
FED announcement and pop to previous support (now resistance) pivot=$885,
-- Re-added some short, tight stop $1,100, added momo add thru $900 break following ER day, stop $1000 for the add
-- Want to cover $765s below the 200SMA@daily
02-10-2022
Sideways action, below all key MA, obvious seller unloading at $940 holding it down.
With market weakness and rates ripping higher, maybe it's time for a P/E reality check.
-- Shorted 0.5xtier, stop $1,100_
-- Target remains $775s
02-23-2022
1st target $765s got tagged today, covered 20%.
Remaining 80% for $550-600s area.
02-24-2022
Another $50 dump so quickly, I decided to cover another 20%.
Now I feel comfortable to hold. Rest 60% for $550-600s area.
03-15-2022
Covered latest add in-front of $765. It looked like it would hold and rally. That's what it did.
03-21-2022 to 04-04-2022
One hell of a gamma squeeze. Someone is playing with the options market, similar action to $AAPL...This vertical move will be fully retraced soon.
-- Carefully and slowly re-shorted 1.5 tier, stop ATHs for entire position
-- Target $765s at a minimum
04-28-2022
Worked like a charm. Even f@cking Elon finds excuses to sell that crap. Main target $550 remains.
05-10-2022
Done covering $765s. Next station $700s
05-12-2022
1st cover below < $700 is a fact!! Come on $550s!!
06-14-2022
$625s is the last fort need to fail before $550 target comes into play.
What a trade so far.
07-08-2022
-- Carefully and slowly re-shorted 1.0 tier into rally towards $765s, stop $811s for the newly added tier, rest position stop remains at ATHs
-- Target $550s
07-22-2022
Out of the latest add as it went the other way and broke $765 seller.
08-01-2022
-- Re-loading short 1xTier into the rally to major/significant confluence of resistance=200SMA@daily & 50SMA@weekly & daily resistance area $885-975s, stop $1011s for entire trade
-- 1st target 765s, main target is always $550s on this one
Execution detail:
Date/time | Symbol | Side | Price | Position |
---|---|---|---|---|
2021-11-02 09:54:29 | TSLA | sell | $1199.600 | short |
2021-11-04 09:34:40 | TSLA | sell | $1229.900 | short |
2021-11-09 12:02:26 | TSLA | buy | $1041.010 | short |
2021-11-09 15:42:54 | TSLA | buy | $1017.890 | short |
2021-11-17 15:03:26 | TSLA | sell | $1092.530 | short |
2021-11-23 19:45:17 | TSLA | sell | $1180.500 | short |
2021-11-30 10:50:19 | TSLA | sell | $1148.390 | short |
2021-12-01 20:02:03 | TSLA | sell | $1163.170 | short |
2021-12-02 10:21:00 | TSLA | buy | $1064.110 | short |
2021-12-03 12:05:58 | TSLA | buy | $1015.500 | short |
2021-12-06 09:40:21 | TSLA | buy | $955.200 | short |
2021-12-14 10:42:45 | TSLA | buy | $951.850 | short |
2021-12-17 04:02:10 | TSLA | buy | $912.100 | short |
2021-12-20 09:34:33 | TSLA | buy | $899.200 | short |
2021-12-28 09:38:01 | TSLA | sell | $1097.380 | short |
2022-01-24 08:40:36 | TSLA | buy | $890.800 | short |
2022-01-26 14:02:52 | TSLA | sell | $984.100 | short |
2022-01-27 11:50:36 | TSLA | sell | $873.540 | short |
2022-02-10 11:35:09 | TSLA | sell | $927.700 | short |
2022-02-14 10:48:02 | TSLA | sell | $883.880 | short |
2022-02-23 14:42:44 | TSLA | buy | $772.110 | short |
2022-02-24 08:37:22 | TSLA | buy | $704.750 | short |
2022-02-28 11:39:24 | TSLA | sell | $872.320 | short |
2022-03-15 10:24:50 | TSLA | buy | $777.230 | short |
2022-03-21 09:41:59 | TSLA | sell | $940.330 | short |
2022-03-22 14:20:03 | TSLA | sell | $973.440 | short |
2022-03-22 14:43:49 | TSLA | sell | $977.500 | short |
2022-03-22 14:43:49 | TSLA | sell | $977.500 | short |
2022-03-23 10:17:02 | TSLA | sell | $1027.970 | short |
2022-03-23 11:23:21 | TSLA | sell | $1036.840 | short |
2022-03-23 12:22:29 | TSLA | sell | $1029.230 | short |
2022-03-28 08:18:05 | TSLA | sell | $1072.450 | short |
2022-03-28 11:20:22 | TSLA | sell | $1091.960 | short |
2022-03-28 11:23:59 | TSLA | sell | $1090.300 | short |
2022-03-29 08:12:44 | TSLA | sell | $1110.500 | short |
2022-04-04 11:34:24 | TSLA | sell | $1130.790 | short |
2022-04-04 15:18:34 | TSLA | sell | $1144.690 | short |
2022-04-06 04:01:02 | TSLA | buy | $1079.830 | short |
2022-04-06 09:44:06 | TSLA | buy | $1055.100 | short |
2022-04-06 10:04:45 | TSLA | buy | $1040.030 | short |
2022-04-07 12:49:22 | TSLA | buy | $1022.220 | short |
2022-04-11 04:02:08 | TSLA | buy | $1002.110 | short |
2022-04-11 19:36:34 | TSLA | buy | $964.990 | short |
2022-04-26 09:53:49 | TSLA | buy | $951.220 | short |
2022-04-26 13:17:57 | TSLA | buy | $886.110 | short |
2022-04-28 09:47:42 | TSLA | buy | $846.490 | short |
2022-04-28 10:54:35 | TSLA | buy | $836.310 | short |
2022-05-09 11:11:42 | TSLA | buy | $803.500 | short |
2022-05-10 11:39:14 | TSLA | buy | $791.750 | short |
2022-05-12 09:40:18 | TSLA | buy | $681.610 | short |
2022-05-20 11:14:31 | TSLA | buy | $664.320 | short |
2022-05-20 12:47:55 | TSLA | buy | $638.050 | short |
2022-06-14 12:08:10 | TSLA | buy | $663.680 | short |
2022-07-08 09:52:20 | TSLA | sell | $732.400 | short |
2022-07-08 10:29:16 | TSLA | sell | $753.140 | short |
2022-07-08 10:37:10 | TSLA | sell | $762.310 | short |
2022-07-21 09:39:36 | TSLA | buy | $782.190 | short |
2022-07-29 13:58:04 | TSLA | sell | $867.130 | short |
2022-07-29 14:23:00 | TSLA | sell | $873.920 | short |
2022-07-29 15:05:57 | TSLA | sell | $877.770 | short |
2022-07-29 15:16:26 | TSLA | sell | $881.460 | short |
2022-07-29 15:25:40 | TSLA | sell | $883.940 | short |
2022-08-01 07:48:00 | TSLA | sell | $907.750 | short |
2022-08-01 10:02:45 | TSLA | sell | $927.420 | short |
2022-08-01 10:21:59 | TSLA | sell | $917.360 | short |
2022-08-01 13:52:41 | TSLA | buy | $887.360 | short |
2022-08-05 11:44:34 | TSLA | buy | $878.600 | short |
2022-08-05 12:00:32 | TSLA | buy | $875.210 | short |
2022-08-05 14:18:14 | TSLA | buy | $867.270 | short |
2022-08-30 12:36:13 | TSLA | buy | $833.670 | short |
2022-08-30 13:27:53 | TSLA | buy | $820.140 | short |
2022-08-30 15:23:58 | TSLA | buy | $831.480 | short |
2022-09-20 11:54:49 | TSLA | buy | $938.790 | short |
2022-10-07 13:32:49 | TSLA | buy | $672.900 | short |
2022-10-13 09:32:32 | TSLA | buy | $621.360 | short |
2022-11-09 12:16:27 | TSLA | buy | $555.660 | short |
2022-12-14 14:16:59 | TSLA | buy | $471.630 | short |
2022-12-16 11:28:56 | TSLA | buy | $450.660 | short |
2022-12-22 11:37:42 | TSLA | buy | $386.640 | short |
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