TSLA Trade on Nov 2, 2021 09:54 from spyrosz: Tradervue User Stock Trades.

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spyrosz

 

Mother of all stonks. What a bubble, what a move. Name went +40% in 12 days, now has a market cap of $1.2T while it does $40-50B in revs!!, not even profits...Insane:/

Setup checked all variables of a "Blow-off Top" playbook trade, would have been A+ if it had gapped higher premarket.

"Blow-off Top" Setup

1a. Parabolic Move: stock way over-extended from the 9SMAs @ daily + weekly charts. Check!
1b. (extra) daily RSI>>80 + (bonus) weekly RSI>>80 + (bonus) monthly RSI>>80!!
2. Previous day: big out-sized green candle that traded much larger volume than the average volume in the previous days, closing near/at HOD. Check!
3. Today: stock gaps up higher premarket = exhaustion gap!! --->
-- exhaustion gap = A+ setup
-- no exhaustion gap = A setup
4. Next day - 2nd day play and continuation lower.

Opening pop to R1=yesterday's close=analysts price target consensus=OI premium wall=$1,200 deserved some risk to the "short" side, at least opening a filler size short:

-- Got short filler size at the opening pop to yesterday's HOD=$1,210, risking wide stop $1,251.
-- Added another half-tier, risking same stop, after premarket gap-up and open just below $1,250
-- No further adds here, until seller establishes himself, backside becomes obvious and stop well-defined:/
-- 1st Target = 9SMA@weekly, main target $885-900 breakout level

Great covers into low $1,000s as Elon sold shares. With Elon on the offer selling for tax purposes (inelastic), every pop should be a fade!!

12-2021
Great re-entries and main size add on the backside, as it got rejected close to $1,200. We have the lower high. Tightened stop to ATHs.

Covering slowly towards main target $900.

01-26-2021
FED announcement and pop to previous support (now resistance) pivot=$885,
-- Re-added some short, tight stop $1,100, added momo add thru $900 break following ER day, stop $1000 for the add
-- Want to cover $765s below the 200SMA@daily

02-10-2022
Sideways action, below all key MA, obvious seller unloading at $940 holding it down.
With market weakness and rates ripping higher, maybe it's time for a P/E reality check.
-- Shorted 0.5xtier, stop $1,100_
-- Target remains $775s

02-23-2022
1st target $765s got tagged today, covered 20%.
Remaining 80% for $550-600s area.

02-24-2022
Another $50 dump so quickly, I decided to cover another 20%.
Now I feel comfortable to hold. Rest 60% for $550-600s area.

03-15-2022
Covered latest add in-front of $765. It looked like it would hold and rally. That's what it did.

03-21-2022 to 04-04-2022
One hell of a gamma squeeze. Someone is playing with the options market, similar action to $AAPL...This vertical move will be fully retraced soon.
-- Carefully and slowly re-shorted 1.5 tier, stop ATHs for entire position
-- Target $765s at a minimum

04-28-2022
Worked like a charm. Even f@cking Elon finds excuses to sell that crap. Main target $550 remains.

05-10-2022
Done covering $765s. Next station $700s

05-12-2022
1st cover below < $700 is a fact!! Come on $550s!!

06-14-2022
$625s is the last fort need to fail before $550 target comes into play.
What a trade so far.

07-08-2022
-- Carefully and slowly re-shorted 1.0 tier into rally towards $765s, stop $811s for the newly added tier, rest position stop remains at ATHs
-- Target $550s

07-22-2022
Out of the latest add as it went the other way and broke $765 seller.

08-01-2022
-- Re-loading short 1xTier into the rally to major/significant confluence of resistance=200SMA@daily & 50SMA@weekly & daily resistance area $885-975s, stop $1011s for entire trade
-- 1st target 765s, main target is always $550s on this one

image


Execution detail:

Date/time Symbol Side Price Position
2021-11-02 09:54:29 TSLA sell $1199.600 short
2021-11-04 09:34:40 TSLA sell $1229.900 short
2021-11-09 12:02:26 TSLA buy $1041.010 short
2021-11-09 15:42:54 TSLA buy $1017.890 short
2021-11-17 15:03:26 TSLA sell $1092.530 short
2021-11-23 19:45:17 TSLA sell $1180.500 short
2021-11-30 10:50:19 TSLA sell $1148.390 short
2021-12-01 20:02:03 TSLA sell $1163.170 short
2021-12-02 10:21:00 TSLA buy $1064.110 short
2021-12-03 12:05:58 TSLA buy $1015.500 short
2021-12-06 09:40:21 TSLA buy $955.200 short
2021-12-14 10:42:45 TSLA buy $951.850 short
2021-12-17 04:02:10 TSLA buy $912.100 short
2021-12-20 09:34:33 TSLA buy $899.200 short
2021-12-28 09:38:01 TSLA sell $1097.380 short
2022-01-24 08:40:36 TSLA buy $890.800 short
2022-01-26 14:02:52 TSLA sell $984.100 short
2022-01-27 11:50:36 TSLA sell $873.540 short
2022-02-10 11:35:09 TSLA sell $927.700 short
2022-02-14 10:48:02 TSLA sell $883.880 short
2022-02-23 14:42:44 TSLA buy $772.110 short
2022-02-24 08:37:22 TSLA buy $704.750 short
2022-02-28 11:39:24 TSLA sell $872.320 short
2022-03-15 10:24:50 TSLA buy $777.230 short
2022-03-21 09:41:59 TSLA sell $940.330 short
2022-03-22 14:20:03 TSLA sell $973.440 short
2022-03-22 14:43:49 TSLA sell $977.500 short
2022-03-22 14:43:49 TSLA sell $977.500 short
2022-03-23 10:17:02 TSLA sell $1027.970 short
2022-03-23 11:23:21 TSLA sell $1036.840 short
2022-03-23 12:22:29 TSLA sell $1029.230 short
2022-03-28 08:18:05 TSLA sell $1072.450 short
2022-03-28 11:20:22 TSLA sell $1091.960 short
2022-03-28 11:23:59 TSLA sell $1090.300 short
2022-03-29 08:12:44 TSLA sell $1110.500 short
2022-04-04 11:34:24 TSLA sell $1130.790 short
2022-04-04 15:18:34 TSLA sell $1144.690 short
2022-04-06 04:01:02 TSLA buy $1079.830 short
2022-04-06 09:44:06 TSLA buy $1055.100 short
2022-04-06 10:04:45 TSLA buy $1040.030 short
2022-04-07 12:49:22 TSLA buy $1022.220 short
2022-04-11 04:02:08 TSLA buy $1002.110 short
2022-04-11 19:36:34 TSLA buy $964.990 short
2022-04-26 09:53:49 TSLA buy $951.220 short
2022-04-26 13:17:57 TSLA buy $886.110 short
2022-04-28 09:47:42 TSLA buy $846.490 short
2022-04-28 10:54:35 TSLA buy $836.310 short
2022-05-09 11:11:42 TSLA buy $803.500 short
2022-05-10 11:39:14 TSLA buy $791.750 short
2022-05-12 09:40:18 TSLA buy $681.610 short
2022-05-20 11:14:31 TSLA buy $664.320 short
2022-05-20 12:47:55 TSLA buy $638.050 short
2022-06-14 12:08:10 TSLA buy $663.680 short
2022-07-08 09:52:20 TSLA sell $732.400 short
2022-07-08 10:29:16 TSLA sell $753.140 short
2022-07-08 10:37:10 TSLA sell $762.310 short
2022-07-21 09:39:36 TSLA buy $782.190 short
2022-07-29 13:58:04 TSLA sell $867.130 short
2022-07-29 14:23:00 TSLA sell $873.920 short
2022-07-29 15:05:57 TSLA sell $877.770 short
2022-07-29 15:16:26 TSLA sell $881.460 short
2022-07-29 15:25:40 TSLA sell $883.940 short
2022-08-01 07:48:00 TSLA sell $907.750 short
2022-08-01 10:02:45 TSLA sell $927.420 short
2022-08-01 10:21:59 TSLA sell $917.360 short
2022-08-01 13:52:41 TSLA buy $887.360 short
2022-08-05 11:44:34 TSLA buy $878.600 short
2022-08-05 12:00:32 TSLA buy $875.210 short
2022-08-05 14:18:14 TSLA buy $867.270 short
2022-08-30 12:36:13 TSLA buy $833.670 short
2022-08-30 13:27:53 TSLA buy $820.140 short
2022-08-30 15:23:58 TSLA buy $831.480 short
2022-09-20 11:54:49 TSLA buy $938.790 short
2022-10-07 13:32:49 TSLA buy $672.900 short
2022-10-13 09:32:32 TSLA buy $621.360 short
2022-11-09 12:16:27 TSLA buy $555.660 short
2022-12-14 14:16:59 TSLA buy $471.630 short
2022-12-16 11:28:56 TSLA buy $450.660 short
2022-12-22 11:37:42 TSLA buy $386.640 short


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