Lesson: Played the open, I recognized the FIB, but go back on 10 day and see if that FIB was strong any other days.
On a losing streak so am sizing in way smaller now until I get my composure back. Through my 2 week losing streak, my risk management has been great but I had a couple of stops that were too tight, so to eliminate that, I am sizing in smaller to make sure my stops are all on point. (This is a minor problem, 80% of my losing streak trades had proper stops, but still this is worth sizing down until I fix the 20% that I am not)
If I look at my setup I should have not went short maybe. hard to say for sure because still learning to play the open. I can say for sure moneywise I shouldn't have because it was a loss, but I don't care about that, I am referring to "was the trade idea correct."
I had the signal to go short.MB, failing...and I didn't go on the first candle.
Things I should have factored. Daily range wasn't great so that should have been a clue that it may not drop very far, but the main oddball factor was my setup was telling me this was a long day still.
What I did factor. There was a FIB right were it got held by support (imagine that)...but my thesis was for it to fail the FIB. That is 2 things going against me though, the FIB sitting right there and my setup was still telling me long. I had the 2 things telling me to short which was the open and the MB, so I have to decide which is the most powerful signal and what other factor I may not be considering.
Scratch that, I just went back 10 days and see that FIB was a strong line multiple times in the last 10 days at least.
Execution detail:
Date/time | Symbol | Side | Price | Position |
---|---|---|---|---|
2017-09-01 09:36:47 | CRZO | sell | $13.330 | short |
2017-09-01 09:46:38 | CRZO | buy | $13.510 | 0 |
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