Thesis: Reports Q2 $1.03 v $0.84e, Rev $13.4B v $13.4Be; Expects softer H2 rev outlook; Announces plan for $2B in cumulative cost savings over the next three years. Gross margin 44.6% v 44%e, +170bps y/y; primarily driven by strategic pricing actions and lower ocean freight rates, partially offset by unfavorable changes in net foreign currency exchange rates and higher product input costs. - EBIT margin 14.2% v 12.5% y/y. Exec: We are seeing indications of more cautious consumer behavior globally; Adjusting channel growth forecasts for rest of FY and stepping up plans to reduce marketpace supply for key franchises; Nike Digital had its strongest Black Friday week ever - earnings call comments - Saw growth of over 20% in trail running portfolio for the quarter - Higher priced products have been resilient in particular.
Stop: Placed my stop-loss below the contraction low.
Entry: I have entered position on a pullback with LMT order.
Targets: end of the 1st and 2nd wave.
Breakeven point: set after 1 minute was in the trade.
Profit taking: slowdown on the tape + consolidation started.
Comments: I could have given 1 minute more for the price to prove that it is not willing to go any further and aim to take profit slightly higher.
Lessons: use timing rules between profit taking.
Execution detail:
Date/time | Symbol | Side | Price | Position |
---|---|---|---|---|
2023-12-22 09:43:26 | NKE | buy | $110.140 | long |
2023-12-22 09:44:10 | NKE | sell | $110.440 | long |
2023-12-22 09:45:32 | NKE | sell | $110.360 | 0 |
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